Menacing-Casement
0x303c5f6f2641f1293cb8e548d080b1c02d9f4487
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
59
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.9K
Realised
$-66.61
Win rate
50%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 59- YES
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
11587 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-62.35
- YES
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
4635 shares @ 10.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-470.71
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Trump say "India" during Saudi PM events on November 18?
1471 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-30.76
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
1380 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-7.32
- YES
Will Sam Altman be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
1214 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-8.50
- YES
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
1200 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-55.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
1158 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.16
- NO
Will Powell say "Percent" 25+ times during December press conference?
1100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.10
- NO
Will d4vd rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the government shutdown last 1 day or more?$195.14Jan 27, 08:04 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$318.10Jan 27, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?$60.00Jan 27, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 1 day or more?$200.00Jan 26, 19:23 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?$300.20Jan 25, 20:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?$55.56Jan 25, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?$288.24Jan 24, 08:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?$6.00Jan 24, 08:55 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$149.71Jan 24, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?$56.40Jan 22, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?$50.00Jan 22, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?$5.70Jan 22, 01:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?$244.63Jan 21, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?$176.77Jan 19, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?$6.43Jan 19, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?$41.06Jan 19, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$74.40Jan 19, 17:08 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?$298.66Jan 19, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$27.00Jan 17, 08:53 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$27.00Jan 17, 08:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $125.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 12, 08:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 27, 08:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".