Grimy-Secrecy
0x303f7a037131fe406385018c9932c0c14842b0cc
Wallet digest
Activity score
42/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
4
Open notional
$17.31
Total PnL
$-5.23
Realised
$-5.14
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$10.40
$0.01
- NO
Will Valencia win the 2025–26 La Liga?
6 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$5.82
$0.01
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.09
$0.09
- YES
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.20
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US?$386.88Dec 18, 02:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$2.00Dec 16, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US?$400.00Dec 16, 02:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Valencia win the 2025–26 La Liga?$403.79Dec 16, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Valencia win the 2025–26 La Liga?$410.00Dec 16, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$4.20Dec 16, 02:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jalen Williams score the most total points in the NBA Finals?$1.01Dec 16, 02:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aurora win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament?$1.02Dec 16, 02:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill ODS win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?$1.02Dec 16, 02:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 2?$1.03Dec 16, 02:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the June 2025 unemployment rate be ≥4.5%?$1.03Dec 16, 02:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Diddy be sentenced to between 30 and 40 years in prison?$1.04Dec 16, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Diddy be sentenced to between 30 and 40 years in prison?$1.00Jun 8, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 2?$1.00Jun 8, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aurora win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament?$1.00Jun 8, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jalen Williams score the most total points in the NBA Finals?$1.00Jun 8, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the June 2025 unemployment rate be ≥4.5%?$1.00Jun 8, 10:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Italy win Eurovision 2025?$1.01Jun 8, 10:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the PPC win 0 seats in the next Canadian Election?$1.04Jun 8, 10:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?$1.04Jun 8, 10:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
11/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $56.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 26, 09:26 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 18, 02:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.