Austere-Survival
0x304578fe505ad03de175041e0593365b3a20549c
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
64
Open notional
$0.88
Total PnL
$-156.76
Realised
$20.64
Win rate
62%
21 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 64- YES
Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1650 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.82
$-1.37
- YES
Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
71 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.04
$-0.96
- YES
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
23 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.01
$-0.99
- YES
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
15 shares @ 15.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.01
$-2.30
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 1PM ET
1020 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 17, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
143 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.60
- YES
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
90 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.58
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$8.90Apr 14, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$2.38Apr 14, 00:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$2.54Apr 14, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$2.71Apr 14, 00:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$4.63Apr 14, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$5.00Apr 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET$3.37Apr 13, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET$1.71Apr 13, 23:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$5.04Apr 13, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$1.80Apr 13, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$3.00Apr 13, 23:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$5.98Apr 13, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$2.19Apr 13, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.00Apr 13, 23:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$3.30Apr 13, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$2.12Apr 13, 22:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.34Apr 13, 22:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$5.73Apr 13, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.10Apr 13, 00:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.12Apr 13, 00:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $3.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 01:46 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 14, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 21 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".