Oily-Disarmament
0x30477c8751ad58737e61910fcf6d1ecc771ea2ad
Wallet digest
Activity score
29/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.24
Total PnL
$-283.18
Realised
$-2.11
Win rate
13%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
6 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.2¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$0.07
$-0.05
- YES
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
8 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.06
$-0.09
- YES
Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?
8 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.04
$-0.12
- YES
Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
8 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.02
$-0.13
- YES
James Collier announced as next James Bond?
8 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.01
$-0.15
- YES
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?
7 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.01
$-0.12
- YES
Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be $400B or greater at market close on IPO day?
6 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.01
$-0.12
- YES
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Ukraine?
8 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.01
$-0.16
- YES
Will Rick Caruso win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
8 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Will Stripe’s market cap be less than $80B at market close on IPO day?
7 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.13
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$0.00May 15, 01:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$1.69May 15, 01:19 UTC
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$20.00May 15, 01:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$20.00May 15, 01:15 UTC
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$20.00May 15, 01:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$20.00May 15, 01:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$0.00May 15, 01:11 UTC
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$20.00May 15, 01:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$0.00May 15, 01:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$20.00May 15, 01:05 UTC
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$20.00May 15, 01:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$20.00May 15, 01:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$0.56May 15, 00:59 UTC
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$20.00May 15, 00:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET$0.00May 15, 00:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET$20.00May 15, 00:55 UTC
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET$20.00May 15, 00:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET$0.00May 15, 00:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET$20.00May 15, 00:50 UTC
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET$20.00May 15, 00:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $0.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 01:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.