Tough-Many
0x304fb3a6b6f28ce246350d6c1589881b883d4c11
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$28.26
Total PnL
$-28.92
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Eduardo Coudet be the next permanent manager of River Plate?
28 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$28.26
$2.26
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 27, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on February 22?
176 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.09
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 22-23°F on January 27?
133 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-4.53
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 22?
126 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.90
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on February 21?
102 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.09
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 21?
66 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.84
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 42-43°F on January 27?
9 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-4.60
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 24-25°F on January 29?
6 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-4.13
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Eduardo Coudet be the next permanent manager of River Plate?$26.00Feb 24, 23:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" win Best Special Visual Effects at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?$3.95Feb 23, 23:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?$5.00Feb 23, 23:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Frankenstein" win Best Costume Design at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?$5.00Feb 23, 23:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on February 21?$10.08Feb 23, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Frankenstein" win Best Costume Design at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?$4.85Feb 21, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" win Best Special Visual Effects at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?$3.87Feb 21, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on February 22?$2.55Feb 21, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on February 22?$2.55Feb 21, 18:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 52°F or higher on February 20?$5.09Feb 21, 18:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C or below on February 21?$10.09Feb 21, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 22?$2.45Feb 21, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 22?$2.45Feb 21, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on February 21?$4.95Feb 20, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on February 21?$4.85Feb 20, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C or below on February 21?$4.99Feb 20, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C or below on February 21?$4.90Feb 20, 21:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on February 20?$5.09Feb 20, 21:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on February 20?$10.09Feb 20, 21:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on February 20?$10.09Feb 20, 21:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $4.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 19, 03:02 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 24, 23:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".