Serene-Pseudocode
0x30568232350853dd768c08ffa625722bc960c0b2
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
47
Open notional
$970.55
Total PnL
$174.70
Realised
$146.58
Win rate
73%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- NO
Will Louis J. Crishock be the next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?
50 shares @ 65.0¢·now 95.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$47.70
$15.20
- NO
Will Gerald L. Heikes win the most votes in the Alaska Senate primary final round?
45 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$44.98
$15.73
- NO
Will Sid Hill win the most votes in the Alaska Senate primary final round?
45 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$44.98
$14.83
- NO
Will Fred C. Grauberger win the most votes in the Alaska Senate primary final round?
44 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$43.98
$15.38
- NO
Will Richard Grayson win the most votes in the Alaska Senate primary final round?
44 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$43.98
$14.94
- NO
Will Reece Roberts win the most votes in the Alaska Senate primary final round?
44 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$43.97
$14.49
- NO
Will James Fishback win 20–25% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?
44 shares @ 65.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$43.14
$14.54
- NO
Will Richard Benedict Mayers win the most votes in the Alaska Senate primary final round?
40 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$39.98
$11.98
- NO
Will James Fishback win 15–20% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?
40 shares @ 65.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$35.95
$9.84
- NO
Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $470,000 and $478,000 on September 30?
35 shares @ 66.0¢·now 98.3¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$34.39
$11.29
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Larry Rhoden win the South Dakota Governor primary runoff by 15–20%?$7.61Aug 13, 07:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Larry Rhoden win the South Dakota Governor primary runoff by less than 5%?$19.83Aug 13, 07:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Core CPI MoM be 0.0% or less in July?$32.00Aug 12, 14:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Core CPI MoM be 0.5% in July?$50.00Aug 12, 14:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Core CPI MoM be 0.6% or more in July?$20.00Aug 12, 14:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Core CPI MoM be 0.4% in July?$50.00Aug 12, 14:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Devin Pooré advance to the general election for WA-04?$40.00Aug 5, 05:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zac Rossi advance to the general election for WA-04?$55.00Aug 5, 05:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jack Kobiesa advance to the general election for WA-04?$22.00Aug 5, 05:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Favian Valencia advance to the general election for WA-04?$50.00Aug 5, 05:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elpidia Saavedra advance to the general election for WA-04?$18.00Aug 5, 05:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the second highest private market valuation on July 31?$5.00Aug 1, 19:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of July?$25.00Aug 1, 10:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of July?$25.00Aug 1, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill "ohnePixel" be the #2 most watched Twitch streamer in July?$44.00Jul 31, 18:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill "zackrawrr" be the #2 most watched Twitch streamer in July?$27.00Jul 31, 18:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill "caseoh_" be the #2 most watched Twitch streamer in July?$25.00Jul 31, 18:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill "stableronaldo" be the #2 most watched Twitch streamer in July?$44.00Jul 31, 18:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill "eliasn97" be the #2 most watched Twitch streamer in July?$44.00Jul 31, 18:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill "HasanAbi" be the #2 most watched Twitch streamer in July?$44.00Jul 31, 18:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
41/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
73% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
11 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 39/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $9.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 13, 18:00 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 13, 07:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.