Disastrous-Velvet
0x3057a0af9c9b4217ee245cfd32e7f47de43eb550
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
25
Open notional
$47.51
Total PnL
$-52.06
Realised
$-1.64
Win rate
0%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays
27 shares @ 46.0¢·now 47.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$12.75
$0.27
- PHOENIX MERCURY
Portland Fire vs. Phoenix Mercury
13 shares @ 58.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$8.88
$1.25
- NEW YORK YANKEES
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays
5 shares @ 60.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$3.02
$0.03
- JACK PINNINGTON JONES
Brownsburg: Andre Ilagan vs Jack Pinnington Jones
5 shares @ 0.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$3.02
$3.02
- KATERINA SINIAKOVA
Cincinnati Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
5 shares @ 52.0¢·now 52.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$2.84
$0.00
- MATHEUS PUCINELLI DE ALMEIDA
Hamburg: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Jan Kumstat
8 shares @ 35.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$2.80
$-0.04
- TOMMY PAUL
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Hubert Hurkacz
5 shares @ 56.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$2.72
$-0.02
- STEFANOS TSITSIPAS
Cincinnati Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Felix Auger-Aliassime
5 shares @ 41.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$2.10
$-0.03
- HAYATO MATSUOKA
Astana: Hayato Matsuoka vs Khumoun Sultanov
3 shares @ 33.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$2.04
$0.91
- UNDER
Eala vs. Ruse: Match O/U 22.5
3 shares @ 58.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$1.71
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro$2.91Aug 15, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYAstana: Hayato Matsuoka vs Khumoun Sultanov$1.17Aug 15, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 330: Charles Johnson vs. Eduardo Chapolin (Catchweight, Prelims)$1.58Aug 15, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Felix Auger-Aliassime$2.19Aug 15, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYHamburg: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Jan Kumstat$2.93Aug 15, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrownsburg: Andre Ilagan vs Jack Pinnington Jones$3.31Aug 15, 05:07 UTC
- REDEEMMilwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$15.11Aug 15, 05:02 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)$4.81Aug 15, 05:02 UTC
- REDEEMColorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants$8.15Aug 15, 05:01 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)$9.44Aug 15, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYEala vs. Ruse: Match O/U 22.5$1.76Aug 15, 04:39 UTC
- REDEEMPortland Fire vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 178.5$8.80Aug 15, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYZhang vs. Day: Match O/U 22.5$1.12Aug 15, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 4.5$4.91Aug 15, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortland Fire vs. Phoenix Mercury$7.79Aug 15, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Athletics (-1.5)$3.13Aug 15, 04:07 UTC
- REDEEMKansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 11.5$18.36Aug 15, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)$3.09Aug 15, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5)$2.23Aug 15, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYTexas Rangers vs. Athletics$5.21Aug 15, 03:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
40/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $4.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 15, 02:37 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 15, 07:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.