Eager-Pavement
0x3058d33dbc4cab385fe62a7f6b81e9c14a3441aa
Wallet digest
Activity score
39/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-85.32
Realised
$-0.75
Win rate
23%
26 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will Elon Musk post <400 tweets in June 2026?
1320 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.32
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- ECHO
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs ECHO - Map 2 Winner
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- HOTU ACADEMY
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs HOTU Academy (BO3) - GLuck Yungstar Closed Qualifier: Series #2 Group C
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- SHARKS
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks - Map 2 Winner
83 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DONSTU ESPORTS
Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - GLuck Yungstar Closed Qualifier: Series #2 Group C
40 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-4.62
- ECHO
Counter-Strike: Acend vs ECHO (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffs
29 shares @ 44.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
22 shares @ 49.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 29, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$1.65Jun 29, 08:15 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 29, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$0.00Jun 29, 08:15 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 29, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$1.65Jun 29, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 29, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$2.29Jun 29, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 29, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$1.85Jun 29, 08:06 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 29, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$0.72Jun 29, 08:05 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 29, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$3.40Jun 29, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 29, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$1.61Jun 29, 08:00 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 29, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$1.60Jun 29, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 29, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$6.38Jun 29, 07:52 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$1.32Jun 29, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$5.17Jun 29, 07:49 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 29, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$5.73Jun 29, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 29, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$4.15Jun 29, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 28, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$1.04Jun 28, 23:50 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 28, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET$0.17Jun 28, 23:49 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 28, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$0.35Jun 28, 23:49 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 28, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$0.42Jun 28, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 28, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$10.35Jun 28, 23:49 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 28, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$0.01Jun 28, 23:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
56/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
23% win rate over 26 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 25/100.
26 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $3.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 28, 22:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 29, 08:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 26 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.