Numb-Delight
0x305a576fa4a79b09cfa0183ac93890ad06bd5256
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
45
Open notional
$102.43
Total PnL
$-176.70
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 43-44°F on December 4?
48 shares @ 2.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$48.10
$47.09
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 39-40°F on December 4?
31 shares @ 37.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$30.98
$19.48
- NO
Will Trump disparage Nick Fuentes by December 31?
16 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$15.66
$2.66
- NO
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
9 shares @ 89.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.69
$-0.31
- YES
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2025 World Series?
2272 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-61.00
- YES
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on August 31?
250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Beef win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
227 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-16.66
- YES
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- PIRATES
Giants vs. Pirates
50 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will David Sacks say "Solana" during his February 4 presser?
42 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2025$0.00
$-14.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Pokrovskoe by December 31?$1.13Dec 4, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Pokrovskoe by December 31?$1.17Dec 3, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Pokrovskoe by December 31?$3.00Dec 3, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 39-40°F on December 4?$11.50Dec 3, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 43-44°F on December 4?$1.01Dec 3, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Steve Bannon in 2025?$1.01Dec 3, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$7.50Nov 15, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$8.00Nov 15, 14:08 UTC
- REDEEMOhio vs. Western Michigan$0.00Nov 12, 13:49 UTC
- REDEEMStars vs. Senators$0.00Nov 12, 13:49 UTC
- REDEEMMichigan Wolverines vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons$0.00Nov 12, 13:49 UTC
- REDEEMKent State Golden Flashes vs. Akron$0.00Nov 12, 13:49 UTC
- REDEEMCapitals vs. Hurricanes$0.00Nov 12, 13:49 UTC
- REDEEMMaple Leafs vs. Bruins$0.00Nov 12, 13:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9PM ET$0.00Nov 12, 13:49 UTC
- REDEEMOhio vs. Western Michigan$0.00Nov 12, 13:49 UTC
- REDEEMStars vs. Senators$0.00Nov 12, 13:49 UTC
- REDEEMMichigan Wolverines vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons$0.00Nov 12, 13:49 UTC
- REDEEMKent State Golden Flashes vs. Akron$0.00Nov 12, 13:49 UTC
- REDEEMCapitals vs. Hurricanes$0.00Nov 12, 13:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $6.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 12, 02:35 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 4, 02:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.