Quick-Witted-Inglenook
0x3066e42fd9ec916d0074634210edc6ef43656895
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$88.18
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
18495 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-54.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 2AM ET
11000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
1917 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
1232 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 20?
625 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
599 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
575 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-54.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1?
513 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 22, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$3.82Jul 22, 20:59 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 22, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$5.00Jul 22, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 22, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$4.10Jul 22, 20:44 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$5.00Jul 22, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$3.55Jul 22, 20:34 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$5.00Jul 22, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$4.81Jul 22, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 22, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$3.39Jul 22, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 22, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$0.01Jul 22, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 22, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$2.99Jul 22, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 22, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$0.01Jul 22, 15:58 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 22, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$5.00Jul 22, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 22, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$3.62Jul 22, 15:52 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$5.00Jul 22, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$4.15Jul 22, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$3.62Jul 22, 13:49 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$5.00Jul 22, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$3.96Jul 22, 13:42 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$5.00Jul 22, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$3.67Jul 22, 13:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $3.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 14:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 20:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.