Defiant-Interest
0x3069b85632ed99544d79536d37d2387310aa10d8
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$6.67
Total PnL
$-31.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on March 28?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$6.67
$5.67
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
56 shares @ 17.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-9.82
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on March 26?
18 shares @ 27.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on March 25?
12 shares @ 40.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
6 shares @ 32.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.98
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 27?
4 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
4 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.97
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on March 28?$1.00Mar 27, 19:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on March 27?$0.01Mar 27, 19:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 27?$1.78Mar 27, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on March 27?$1.00Mar 26, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on March 27?$1.00Mar 26, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on March 27?$1.00Mar 26, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on March 27?$1.00Mar 26, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 27?$1.00Mar 26, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on March 27?$1.00Mar 26, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 27?$1.00Mar 26, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on March 26?$5.00Mar 25, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on March 25?$5.00Mar 24, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$1.00Mar 24, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$1.00Mar 24, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$1.00Mar 24, 21:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$1.52Mar 24, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$1.00Mar 24, 21:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$1.67Mar 24, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$1.00Mar 24, 21:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$2.08Mar 24, 20:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $2.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 19, 22:16 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 27, 19:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.