Hospitable-Effectiveness
0x306df6d3fb6d6b782df141c43b43a424a35552f7
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$4.25
Total PnL
$-50.42
Realised
$36.44
Win rate
100%
33 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1201 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.60
$-0.60
- YES
Will Daniel Quintero win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1152 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.58
$-0.58
- YES
Will Enrique Peñalosa win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1142 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.57
$-0.57
- YES
Will Mauricio Cardenas win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Gustavo Bolívar win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will David Luna Sánchez win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Juan Manuel Galán win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
1367 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- YES
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
1100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00May 24, 02:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$0.94May 24, 02:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$0.99May 24, 02:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$0.32May 24, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$0.02May 8, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$0.01May 8, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$0.27May 8, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be 44°F or higher on May 9?$0.10May 8, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be 44°F or higher on May 9?$0.20May 8, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$0.02May 8, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$0.28May 8, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 40-41°F on May 8?$0.14May 8, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 40-41°F on May 8?$0.05May 7, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 7?$0.30May 7, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 57°F or below on May 7?$0.30May 7, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be 65°F or below on May 7?$0.30May 7, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C or higher on May 7?$0.30May 7, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on May 7?$0.30May 7, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 45°F or below on May 8?$0.01May 7, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 45°F or below on May 8?$0.01May 7, 17:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 12:33 UTC
- Last active
- May 24, 02:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 33 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.