Flimsy-Prostanoid
0x30875d46dd0c23f9172c69856391b3b0bb575184
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-7.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 25, 2AM ET
3368 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.7K
- UP
XRP Up or Down - January 24, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
3185 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.6K
- UP
Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on November 20?
2430 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on November 20?
1960 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 12AM ET
1888 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-944.25
- UP
XRP Up or Down - November 20, 12AM ET
1576 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-788.00
- DOWN
Meta (META) Up or Down on December 5?
13 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-7.15
Recent activity
- REWARD$9.26Apr 22, 03:36 UTC
- REWARD$0.15Apr 22, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMMeta (META) Up or Down on February 5?$21.30Apr 21, 02:09 UTC
- REDEEMFTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on February 5?$22.63Apr 21, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYFTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on February 5?$11.31Feb 5, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYMeta (META) Up or Down on February 5?$10.65Feb 5, 11:17 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - January 25, 2AM ET$2.9KJan 25, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - January 25, 2AM ET$1.4KJan 25, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 25, 2AM ET$1.7KJan 25, 01:57 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - January 24, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$3.1KJan 25, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - January 24, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$1.6KJan 24, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 24, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$1.5KJan 24, 11:09 UTC
- REDEEMNasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on December 5?$16.00Jan 24, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYMeta (META) Up or Down on December 5?$7.15Dec 5, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYNasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on December 5?$9.60Dec 5, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYPalantir (PLTR) Up or Down on November 20?$1.3KNov 20, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYAirbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on November 20?$1.2KNov 20, 08:45 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 20, 12AM ET$2.5KNov 20, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - November 20, 12AM ET$788.00Nov 20, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 20, 12AM ET$1.2KNov 20, 03:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
13 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $901.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 20, 03:23 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 22, 03:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.