Grumpy-Racer
0x308c45a830417283383f788a478ab77dc9a1344e
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-116.74
Win rate
0%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- OVER
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 4.5
1224 shares @ 10.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-127.70
- SPAIN
Spread: Spain (-3.5)
1058 shares @ 12.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-132.28
- SPAIN
Spread: Spain (-5.5)
748 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-13.54
- UP
Solana Up or Down - August 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
383 shares @ 33.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2026$0.00
$-127.03
- OVER
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 12.5 Total Corners
335 shares @ 10.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-34.70
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
311 shares @ 46.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$0.00
$-144.45
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
303 shares @ 50.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$0.00
$-151.58
- UP
Solana Up or Down - August 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
194 shares @ 51.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - July 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
110 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-55.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$156.88Aug 22, 07:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$0.00Aug 22, 07:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$157.06Aug 22, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$47.30Aug 22, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$85.51Aug 22, 07:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$132.92Aug 22, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$114.13Aug 22, 07:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$0.00Aug 22, 07:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$113.71Aug 22, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$49.70Aug 22, 06:55 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$0.00Aug 14, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$42.91Aug 14, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$51.75Aug 14, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$52.24Aug 14, 01:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$147.18Aug 14, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$45.90Aug 14, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$51.53Aug 14, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$74.40Aug 14, 00:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$370.01Aug 13, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$94.11Aug 13, 14:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
39/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $64.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 1, 11:16 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 22, 07:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.