Live-Den
0x3091ac9a765c385072d19f24217cc5bed937013c
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$8.37
Total PnL
$-20.8K
Realised
$-3.6K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
9 shares @ 89.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.07
$-0.94
- NO
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.05
$0.24
- YES
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
5 shares @ 6.4¢·now 5.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.25
$-0.07
- NO
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
11036 shares @ 65.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-7.2K
- NO
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
10038 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.2K
- NO
Will Thailand next strike Cambodia on December 9?
1373 shares @ 33.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-456.50
- NO
Will Paradex launch a token by March 31 2026?
1087 shares @ 27.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-301.05
- NO
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
900 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-342.00
- NO
Will Paradex launch a token by April 30 2026?
306 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-24.63
- YES
Will Sam Altman say "API" or "AGI" on The Tonight Show on December 8?
280 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-204.40
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?$1.8KMar 11, 04:22 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?$4.9KMar 11, 04:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?$4.38Feb 26, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$8.01Feb 26, 05:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Axiom be accused of insider trading?$8.56Feb 26, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?$467.40Feb 26, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?$80.90Feb 26, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?$9.71Feb 26, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?$87.38Feb 26, 05:19 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?$645.33Feb 26, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?$37.62Feb 24, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$114.00Feb 24, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?$132.00Feb 24, 11:50 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?$60.00Feb 24, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$228.00Feb 24, 11:47 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?$451.20Feb 24, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Axiom be accused of insider trading?$10.20Feb 24, 11:42 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?$10.40Feb 24, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$31.16Feb 23, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?$22.00Feb 23, 05:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $412.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 18, 04:37 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 11, 04:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".