0x30af50d04b9c1ddef67ae39996f9607c0f14aa32
0x30af50d04b9c1ddef67ae39996f9607c0f14aa32
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$1.2K
Realised
$1.2K
Win rate
86%
7 closed
Largest open positions
- BUCCANEERS
NFL: Who will win Buccaneers v. Rams?
1704 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2022$0.00
$-8.08
- YES
Will Joe Biden's RCP job approval rating on January 21 be between 41.6% and 41.8%?
545 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2022$0.00
$-11.80
- HORNETS
NBA: Who will win the Raptors vs. Hornets, scheduled for January 25 (7 PM ET)?
400 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2022$0.00
$-0.41
- NO
NHL: Will the Hurricanes beat the Rangers by more than 1.5 points in their January 21 matchup?
151 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2022$0.00
$-0.08
- YES
Will the Green Bay Packers win the ‘21-’22 Superbowl?
143 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2022$0.00
$-0.30
- NO
NBA: Will the Warriors beat the Pistons by more than 14.5 points in their January 18 matchup?
133 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2022$0.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Joe Biden's RCP job approval rating on January 21 be between 41.9% and 42.1%?
102 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2022$0.00
$-2.51
- EVEN
NBA: Will the sum of points in Warriors v Timberwolves be an even or an odd number?
17 shares @ 41.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2022$0.00
$-7.08
- GANE
UFC 270: Who will win Ngannou vs. Gane?
9 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2022$0.00
$-4.54
- YES
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be between 42.7% and 42.9% on January 26?
4 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2022$0.00
$-0.24
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
86% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.