Actual-Shutdown
0x30b039541e8d2daf8482e7a585dff410ccb587b5
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
39
Open notional
$270.58
Total PnL
$-47.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?
35 shares @ 62.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$34.97
$13.03
- NO
Kraken IPO in 2025?
29 shares @ 82.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$28.67
$5.07
- NO
Will Apple release a new product line in 2025?
27 shares @ 73.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$27.05
$7.05
- NO
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
24 shares @ 91.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$24.05
$1.98
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
23 shares @ 83.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$22.73
$3.73
- YES
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?
17 shares @ 18.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$16.67
$13.67
- YES
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
17 shares @ 30.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$16.67
$11.67
- NO
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
12 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$12.35
$2.35
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025?
12 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$11.76
$1.76
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
11 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.87
$0.87
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$17.04Oct 24, 14:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$0.00Oct 11, 14:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$5.52Oct 11, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?$1.94Sep 25, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$5.00Sep 25, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$10.00Sep 25, 12:41 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$16.94Sep 25, 12:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?$6.94Sep 15, 16:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?$12.35Sep 15, 16:40 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?$0.00Sep 4, 17:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?$0.00Sep 4, 17:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill a hurricane make landfall in the US by August 31?$0.00Sep 4, 17:23 UTC
- REDEEMTrump Mobile smartphone released before September?$0.00Sep 4, 17:23 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?$5.56Sep 3, 17:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?$5.68Sep 3, 17:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill a hurricane make landfall in the US by August 31?$5.68Sep 3, 17:31 UTC
- REDEEMTrump Mobile smartphone released before September?$10.87Sep 3, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?$5.00Aug 30, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$5.00Aug 21, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$5.00Aug 21, 10:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $5.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 18, 10:40 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 24, 14:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.