Wallet digest

active

Activity score

50/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-2.9K

Realised

$-2.60

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 26

UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 6AM ET
1898 shares @ 29.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025
$0.00
$-566.20
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
1583 shares @ 36.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025
$0.00
$-575.17
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
881 shares @ 46.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025
$0.00
$-407.72
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 25?
872 shares @ 22.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025
$0.00
$-197.48
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 11AM ET
616 shares @ 48.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025
$0.00
$-300.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
583 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025
$0.00
$-221.70
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
470 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025
$0.00
$-159.75
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
260 shares @ 15.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025
$0.00
$-40.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
221 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025
$0.00
$-20.00
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 22, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
181 shares @ 70.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025
$0.00
$-128.19

Recent activity

TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$24.07Jan 29, 17:19 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$3.00Jan 29, 15:54 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$0.51Jan 29, 15:52 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$1.00Jan 29, 15:52 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$1.00Jan 29, 15:52 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$1.00Jan 29, 15:39 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$5.00Jan 28, 23:08 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$31.54Jan 28, 22:32 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$4.07Jan 28, 22:11 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$21.39Jan 28, 22:11 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$10.00Jan 28, 22:10 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$31.38Jan 28, 21:54 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$30.76Jan 28, 20:11 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$0.00Jan 28, 19:51 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$30.76Jan 28, 19:51 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$30.45Jan 28, 19:42 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$30.46Jan 28, 19:41 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$29.55Jan 28, 19:26 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$1.00Jan 28, 19:19 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$50.83Dec 22, 21:33 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity39 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence7 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry50 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk50 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 34
Avg trade size: $15.89
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Dec 22, 19:37 UTC
Last active: Jan 29, 17:19 UTC
Win rate sample: 2 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 11:58:41 UTC·src:Polymarket Data