Gleaming-Alder
0x30b7b487e35fb985427bfa2d85194207158de81c
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$50.3K
Total PnL
$2.2K
Realised
$2.8K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
27000 shares @ 80.8¢·now 82.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$22.3K
$465.02
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
12000 shares @ 98.2¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.9K
$129.89
- NO
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
10000 shares @ 89.4¢·now 99.7¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$10.0K
$1.0K
- YES
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
3834 shares @ 80.8¢·now 88.4¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$3.4K
$291.18
- NO
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
2700 shares @ 76.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$2.7K
$623.70
- YES
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
5000 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$37.50
$-57.50
- YES
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?
4093 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.1K
Recent activity
- YIELD$1.99Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$1.99Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$1.97Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$11.8KJun 11, 16:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$15.9KJun 11, 16:01 UTC
- YIELD$1.96Jun 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$1.96Jun 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$1.96Jun 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$1.96Jun 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$1.96Jun 7, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$31.3KJun 6, 06:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?$3.2KJun 6, 05:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?$3.6KJun 6, 05:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?$4.0KJun 6, 05:49 UTC
- YIELD$1.96Jun 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$1.96Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$1.96Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?$3.1KJun 3, 06:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$7.7KJun 3, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?$9.0KJun 3, 06:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$31.3K
Trades
1
Buy share
0%
Window
Jun 6, 06:20 UTC → Jun 6, 06:16 UTC
- SELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$31.3K@98¢Jun 6, 06:16 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$31.3K
1 trades
Buy share
0%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
$31.3K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $5.4K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 11:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.