Writhing-Mushroom
0x30beb4d46cc02a21954a413522be07c2bb2934cb
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?
930 shares @ 89.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-827.70
- YES
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on July 31?
823 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.47
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $117K on July 25 at 5PM ET?
260 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-208.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - December 3, 7AM ET
125 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-102.50
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - November 17, 12AM ET
90 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-55.80
- UP
XRP Up or Down - November 8, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
60 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-45.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - November 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
50 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-35.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - November 10, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
50 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-42.50
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
50 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-32.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
50 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-40.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?$827.70Feb 21, 15:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$149.99Feb 12, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$22.27Feb 8, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$73.33Feb 8, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$27.13Feb 8, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$9.25Feb 8, 17:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?$67.38Feb 8, 03:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$14.99Feb 7, 17:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$93.44Feb 7, 17:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$497.00Feb 7, 17:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$25.37Feb 7, 14:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$9.94Feb 7, 14:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$10.92Feb 7, 14:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$51.70Feb 7, 14:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$27.83Feb 7, 13:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$11.32Feb 7, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$584.02Feb 4, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$73.33Feb 4, 07:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$657.97Feb 4, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$175.31Jan 30, 09:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $118.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 24, 07:02 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 21, 15:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".