Simplistic-Half
0x30c50d18ae1c6cf8382a8e691a31098dad0596ed
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$12.74
Total PnL
$-18.85
Realised
$0.01
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
13 shares @ 72.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$12.74
$3.54
- YES
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
100 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-3.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 41°F or below on November 22?
68 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- KARMINE CORP GC
Valorant: Karmine Corp GC vs Shopify Rebellion Gold (BO3)
15 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-5.70
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
10 shares @ 19.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down on September 19?
6 shares @ 52.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 19, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- VILLARREAL
Spread: Villarreal (-1.5)
5 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-2.25
- BULLS
Spread: Bulls (-2.5)
5 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-2.54
- YOUNGSTOWN STATE PENGUINS
Youngstown State Penguins vs. Toledo Rockets
4 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMUkraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?$1.10Dec 1, 10:36 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: DC vs RR$3.00Dec 1, 10:36 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$44.35Nov 27, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$48.79Nov 27, 14:33 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$48.79Nov 26, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$53.67Nov 26, 14:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dundee United FC vs. Falkirk FC end in a draw?$5.00Nov 26, 11:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill AS Saint-Étienne win on 2025-11-22?$5.00Nov 26, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: Karmine Corp GC vs Shopify Rebellion Gold (BO3)$1.75Nov 24, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: Karmine Corp GC vs Shopify Rebellion Gold (BO3)$1.95Nov 24, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: Karmine Corp GC vs Shopify Rebellion Gold (BO3)$2.00Nov 24, 15:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill En Avant Guingamp win on 2025-11-22?$20.00Nov 22, 19:07 UTC
- REDEEMSenators vs. Ducks$5.00Nov 22, 19:07 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Crystal Palace (-1.5)$5.00Nov 22, 19:07 UTC
- REDEEMBulls vs. Trail Blazers$5.00Nov 22, 19:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $92,000 on November 20?$10.00Nov 22, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?$1.00Nov 22, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dundee United FC vs. Falkirk FC end in a draw?$3.65Nov 21, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill En Avant Guingamp win on 2025-11-22?$2.55Nov 21, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill En Avant Guingamp win on 2025-11-22?$2.55Nov 21, 18:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $8.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 9, 08:20 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 1, 10:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.