Improbable-Underneath
0x30c9bd260318a29bfa8b4d68ea8ba774c611c3b4
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-273.68
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 20, 12AM ET
275 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2025$0.00
$-137.59
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2500 and $2600 on June 20?
171 shares @ 76.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2025$0.00
$-131.36
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 30?
10 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-4.73
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 20, 12AM ET$137.59Jul 20, 04:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be between $3500 and $3600 on July 19 at 5PM ET?$137.58Jul 19, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $3500 and $3600 on July 19 at 5PM ET?$119.82Jul 19, 16:25 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on July 19?$119.83Jul 19, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 19?$156.95Jul 19, 15:00 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down on July 19?$156.60Jul 19, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on July 19?$113.40Jul 19, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on June 30?$4.73Jun 30, 08:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $107K and $108K on June 29 at 5PM ET?$4.73Jun 29, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $107K and $108K on June 29 at 5PM ET?$3.08Jun 29, 17:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $108K on June 29 at 5PM ET?$3.08Jun 29, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $108K on June 29 at 5PM ET?$11.18Jun 29, 10:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $107K and $108K on June 29 at 5PM ET?$11.18Jun 29, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $107K and $108K on June 29 at 5PM ET?$11.18Jun 29, 06:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $107K on June 28 at 5PM ET?$11.18Jun 28, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $107K on June 28 at 5PM ET?$9.62Jun 28, 19:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on June 28?$9.62Jun 28, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on June 28?$2.50Jun 28, 15:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on June 28?$2.50Jun 28, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on June 28?$8.40Jun 27, 16:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $53.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 12:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 04:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".