Defensive-Promise
0x30d326a2272c81fa85855e8a212cdda001cf4b33
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-38.85
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
198 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.56
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on January 23?
162 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-5.66
- NO
Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on January 29?
103 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.54
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 24?
93 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.96
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down on January 22?
89 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.37
- UP
XRP Up or Down on March 29?
86 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.14
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 27?
84 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.84
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 21?
82 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.88
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 29?
66 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-4.64
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 24?
65 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.88
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 30?$1.15May 29, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 29?$3.24May 28, 21:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 28?$27.50May 28, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 28?$2.34May 27, 17:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 24?$217.70May 24, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 24?$214.43May 23, 18:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 1?$29.84May 16, 19:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.50 on April 26?$164.62May 10, 03:48 UTC
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down - April 27, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$30.82Apr 27, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - April 27, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$1.43Apr 27, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - April 27, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$7.03Apr 27, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - April 27, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$21.31Apr 27, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.50 on April 26?$162.48Apr 25, 17:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on March 31?$194.74Apr 25, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 20?$2.06Apr 20, 04:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on March 28?$0.00Apr 18, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 11?$1.46Apr 11, 12:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $120 on January 23?$0.00Apr 11, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 1?$28.02Apr 1, 03:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be less than $2,500 on January 31?$0.00Mar 31, 15:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $61.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 28, 09:29 UTC
- Last active
- May 29, 16:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".