Wallet profile

Untrue-Bridge

0x30d5a7e1a1ec19fb4dbdc250a19a5bb3734f36bf

activity 61/100

Wallet digest

active

Activity score

61/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

200

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-159.2K

Realised

$2.8K

Win rate

77%

30 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 200

Recent activity

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

Ledger volume

$67.2K

Trades

1

Buy share

52%

Window

Jun 21, 01:10 UTC → Jul 1, 02:24 UTC

Last 30 days · daily volumemax $7.6K

Wallet edge sanity

Attention signal

76/100
read-only

Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.

Required before treating wallet flow as useful

Resolved-only performance

77% win rate over 30 closed markets.

Copy-lag simulation

A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.

Liquidity and exit

Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.

Resolution-source risk

The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.

Survivorship bias

Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.

Wallet intelligence filter

Watch only

29/100
no PredictFoliopaper-only

Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.

Wallet signal
pass

48 live trades, 5 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.

Resolved-only track record
pass

30 closed markets, 77% win rate.

Cost / slippage
missing

No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.

Resolution risk
missing

No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.

Market liquidity
missing

No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.

Copy-lag simulation
missing

No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.

Paper-only attribution
missing

No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$7.6K

1 trades

30d volume

$7.6K

1 trades

Buy share

52%

Sample

limited

5 ledger trades

Top market concentration

Bad Homburg Open: Liudmila Samsonova vs Katerina Siniakova

$20.6K · 31% of recorded whale volume

Recorded market concentration

Bad Homburg Open: Liudmila Samsonova vs Katerina Siniakova31% of recorded volume$20.6KBad Homburg Open: Naomi Osaka vs Magdalena Frech26% of recorded volume$17.3KWill Mexico win on 2026-06-30?17% of recorded volume$11.4K

Profile dimensions

Activity71 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence100 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry47 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk44 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time)
48
Avg trade size
$879.84
Top category
—
Category concentration
0%
First seen
Jul 1, 17:10 UTC
Last active
Jul 2, 00:10 UTC
Win rate sample
30 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

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updated 11:07:15 UTC·src:Polymarket Data