Alarming-Randomization
0x30e39ec8655522445ddc21f0756253d99c6fc844
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$94.33
Total PnL
$-62.72
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
58 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$57.80
$-0.20
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
10 shares @ 97.3¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$9.71
$-0.29
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C or higher on May 26?
5 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$5.38
$0.38
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 26?
5 shares @ 95.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$5.24
$0.24
- FRANCES TIAFOE
Roland Garros ATP: Eliot Spizzirri vs Frances Tiafoe
4 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.44
$0.44
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
4 shares @ 97.9¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$4.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027?
3 shares @ 99.2¢·now 98.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.97
$-0.03
- NO
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?
3 shares @ 94.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.76
$-0.24
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
2 shares @ 90.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will Trump's approval rating be less than 45.0% on May 30?
6550 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2025$0.00
$-13.10
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 1, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 31, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 30, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 26, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C or higher on May 26?$5.02May 25, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 26?$5.01May 25, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: Eliot Spizzirri vs Frances Tiafoe$4.01May 25, 07:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?$5.24May 25, 06:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$8.25May 25, 06:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 25, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 22, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $6.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 28, 19:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".