Flickering-Horror
0x30e55b4a090312305234dd7c67b1ff8c42ff2300
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
53
Open notional
$2.21
Total PnL
$-53.30
Realised
$0.61
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?
30 shares @ 3.5¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.64
$-0.41
- YES
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 4.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.46
$-0.54
- YES
Macron out by June 30, 2026?
26 shares @ 3.8¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.37
$-0.63
- YES
Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?
41 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.31
$-0.69
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
90 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.23
$-0.77
- YES
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.15
$-0.85
- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
30 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.05
$-0.95
- YES
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.02
$-0.98
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,700 on March 11?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$5.00Jun 14, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$4.07Jun 12, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?$0.82Jun 9, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$0.99Jun 9, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?$0.23Jun 8, 20:15 UTC
- TRADESELLRepublicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?$0.35Jun 8, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?$0.99May 20, 20:10 UTC
- TRADESELLRepublicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?$4.70May 19, 16:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 13-14 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?$2.07May 18, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have 17 or more launches in April?$0.05Apr 20, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have 17 or more launches in April?$0.30Apr 20, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have 17 or more launches in April?$0.13Apr 20, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have 17 or more launches in April?$0.06Apr 20, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have 17 or more launches in April?$0.00Apr 20, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have 17 or more launches in April?$0.05Apr 19, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have 17 or more launches in April?$0.03Apr 18, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have 17 or more launches in April?$0.01Apr 17, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have 17 or more launches in April?$0.06Apr 17, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have 17 or more launches in April?$0.03Apr 17, 22:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.47Apr 17, 20:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $0.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 14, 22:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 06:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.