0x30f18fe1b1d0434f8e147150e585ce76af681fc8
0x30f18fe1b1d0434f8e147150e585ce76af681fc8
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
103
Open notional
$5.00
Total PnL
$-64.60
Realised
$1.94
Win rate
44%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 103- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 24?
5 shares @ 8.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$5.00
$4.60
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 21?
21 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.09
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
17 shares @ 12.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.06
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
16 shares @ 12.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?
16 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.55
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
16 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.34
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
15 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
15 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-0.85
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
15 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?
15 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.06
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?$5.38Jan 23, 18:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 9°C on January 22?$5.00Jan 23, 18:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?$0.00Jan 23, 18:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 9°C on January 22?$0.00Jan 23, 18:21 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 22, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$1.00Jan 23, 18:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?$0.00Jan 23, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 24?$0.00Jan 23, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 24?$0.40Jan 23, 16:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?$0.55Jan 23, 13:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 23?$0.06Jan 23, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?$1.50Jan 23, 08:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?$0.60Jan 23, 06:33 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - January 22, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$1.00Jan 23, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?$5.00Jan 23, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?$1.00Jan 23, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?$5.00Jan 23, 04:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?$2.80Jan 23, 04:00 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 22, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$1.00Jan 23, 03:30 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - January 22, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$1.00Jan 23, 03:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$1.00Jan 23, 03:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $1.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 22, 09:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 23, 18:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".