Usable-Lobster
0x30f4a3d15bc83138d74cddcc23f6095c7df1c045
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
46
Open notional
$80.04
Total PnL
$-97.62
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- NO
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $170-$175 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?
33 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$32.54
$2.60
- UP
Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on March 4?
31 shares @ 97.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$31.00
$0.78
- YES
Will Burlington Stores (BURL) beat quarterly earnings?
17 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$16.50
$1.81
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 42°F or higher on February 6?
238 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-6.18
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 3?
221 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.49
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 30?
209 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.67
- YES
Will Donald Trump endorse Wesley Hunt for the Texas Republican Senate primary by March 2, 2026?
206 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.89
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 58°F or higher on March 4?
206 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.44
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 26?
192 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.15
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 28?
185 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.33
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on April 13?$40.85Jul 3, 13:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 30?$175.45May 30, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 30?$173.34May 29, 19:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Kiss All The Time. Disco, Occasionally' - Harry Styles debut week album sales be less than 300k?$43.60May 29, 19:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 1?$75.60May 22, 05:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 14?$185.56May 14, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 14?$183.89May 14, 01:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 26?$139.20May 14, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on May 11?$1.33May 11, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on March 27?$145.56May 7, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 26?$0.20Apr 25, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 26?$137.61Apr 25, 21:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on April 12?$146.38Apr 25, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on April 19?$2.41Apr 19, 05:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on January 22?$0.00Apr 18, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on April 13?$39.46Apr 13, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on April 12?$145.06Apr 11, 23:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill NYSE Composite (NYA) hit 18100 (LOW) in March?$170.84Apr 11, 23:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 24?$0.00Apr 1, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 1?$74.31Apr 1, 02:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $68.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 5, 22:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 13:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.