Defensive-Glacier
0x31021eb021daddd61ddb2715f500c3f1ed99d958
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-216.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
1316 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on July 4?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 4?
313 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by March 31, 2026?
236 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on August 15?
167 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $109K on July 4 at 5PM ET?
111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $120K and $121K on July 21?
91 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Bitcoin above $114K on September 8?
79 shares @ 12.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
59 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Ethereum above $4500 on September 8?
59 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$50.00Feb 11, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy by March 31, 2026?$10.00Feb 10, 16:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the government shutdown last 3 days or more?$0.00Feb 10, 14:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the government shutdown last 3 days or more?$13.16Feb 10, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 3 days or more?$10.00Jan 27, 15:20 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$21.13Jan 27, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$15.00Nov 12, 15:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Government shutdown end November 12-15?$32.60Nov 12, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 12-15?$11.00Nov 9, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on November 4?$10.00Nov 3, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 4?$10.00Nov 3, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 4?$10.00Nov 3, 16:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$14.08Oct 31, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$10.00Oct 14, 02:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$5.52Oct 14, 02:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin hit $100k or $130k first?$18.75Oct 10, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Putin by October 31?$10.00Sep 13, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $117K September 8–14?$10.00Sep 11, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $112K and $114K on September 8?$45.45Sep 11, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $100k or $130k first?$10.00Sep 6, 04:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $11.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 4, 13:48 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 11, 10:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".