Doting-Skyscraper
0x31053b83b7126f4d45cc0aa978c0f850913c43e3
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$27.71
Total PnL
$-93.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?
17 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$16.51
$2.64
- NO
Iran leadership change by July 31?
10 shares @ 96.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$9.63
$0.37
- NO
Israel military action against Yemen by July 31?
2 shares @ 96.2¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.56
$0.04
- FIZIEV
UFC 325: Fiziev vs. Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)
74 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-39.98
- YES
US issues Do-Not-Travel warning for Jalisco State by February 28, 2026?
45 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.85
- YES
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-18?
33 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-19.00
- YES
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?
26 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.23
- TOP ESPORTS
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2
17 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.34
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
13 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.60
- NO
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?
13 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-5.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael military action against Yemen by July 31?$1.52Jul 27, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by July 31?$9.26Jul 15, 01:04 UTC
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$1.96Jul 1, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa win on 2026-06-28?$4.34Jun 28, 15:01 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$2.72Jun 23, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?$13.94Jun 21, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$2.60Jun 17, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$2.63Jun 4, 00:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.59Jun 3, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$1.88May 30, 11:56 UTC
- REDEEMTrump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?$2.03May 28, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.30May 16, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?$2.00May 14, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?$6.09Apr 25, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$2.66Apr 21, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2$5.38Mar 30, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Pistons$6.00Mar 23, 13:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$11.38Mar 23, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS issues Do-Not-Travel warning for Jalisco State by February 28, 2026?$10.85Feb 23, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$10.00Feb 21, 10:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
18 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $8.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 31, 21:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 27, 16:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.