0x31075cc6d4e82f25f2a4bfa42f577ba327b98252
0x31075cc6d4e82f25f2a4bfa42f577ba327b98252
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$-2.21
Win rate
42%
36 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9PM ET
2702 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-6.62
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12?
2646 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
1600 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
1600 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
1402 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.10
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
1294 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-21.01
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
1278 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10PM ET
947 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
695 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET
675 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-12.46
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET$0.01Jul 5, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET$1.00Jul 5, 05:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET$0.33Jul 5, 05:38 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET$0.96Jul 5, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET$1.05Jul 5, 05:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$0.74Jul 5, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$1.05Jul 5, 05:25 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$0.02Jul 5, 05:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$1.26Jul 5, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$1.09Jul 5, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$0.27Jul 5, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$1.02Jul 5, 05:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$1.92Jul 5, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$1.52Jul 5, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$5.34Jul 5, 05:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$2.97Jul 5, 05:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$2.97Jul 5, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$2.29Jul 5, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$2.29Jul 5, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$5.35Jul 5, 05:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
59/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
42% win rate over 36 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 24/100.
36 closed markets, 42% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $2.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 5, 04:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 5, 05:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 36 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.