0x310ebd130e9b9d330630e678278a014152ab8d5d
0x310ebd130e9b9d330630e678278a014152ab8d5d
Wallet digest
Activity score
25/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-791.68
Realised
$-53.68
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 3 England?
2326 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1036 shares @ 19.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
England vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?
674 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-128.00
- FRANCE
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance
531 shares @ 56.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$10.00Aug 20, 17:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 16, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$138.30Jul 15, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$216.07Jul 15, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Team to Advance$318.52Jul 14, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Norway 2 - 3 England?$108.78Jul 11, 20:00 UTC
- REDEEMMexico vs. England: Team to Advance$0.00Jul 7, 18:24 UTC
- REDEEMEgypt to score first vs. Argentina?$555.56Jul 7, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYEgypt to score first vs. Argentina?$106.46Jul 7, 15:40 UTC
- REDEEMBrazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance$333.33Jul 5, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. England: Team to Advance$103.45Jul 5, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance$106.10Jul 5, 18:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
8 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $138.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 5, 18:48 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 20, 17:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.