Educated-Debtor
0x310fbba8c6290c9c6ce478e7f4b2a52b9513380f
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$27.42
Total PnL
$-7.37
Realised
$-0.28
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
U.S. agrees to give Saudi Arabia security guarantee by November 30?
13 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$13.33
$3.33
- NO
Will Metroid Prime 4: Beyond win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
7 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$7.08
$0.01
- NO
Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?
2 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.27
$0.27
- NO
Will Blue Prince win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$1.44
$0.00
- NO
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT in 2025?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.16
$0.16
- NO
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords in 2025?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$1.11
$0.11
- NO
Will Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by December 31?
1 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Harold Mayne-Nicholls win the Chilean presidential election?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
TrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Casey DeSantis run for Florida Governor?
2 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Metroid Prime 4: Beyond win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$269.73Nov 16, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. agrees to give Saudi Arabia security guarantee by November 30? $10.00Nov 14, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026?$3.00Nov 14, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Metroid Prime 4: Beyond win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$276.80Nov 14, 03:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Blue Prince win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$280.78Nov 14, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Blue Prince win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$282.50Nov 14, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harold Mayne-Nicholls win the Chilean presidential election?$2.00Nov 14, 03:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netanyahu say "Hostage" 3+ times during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?$2.17Nov 14, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by December 31?$1.00Sep 26, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran withdraw from the NPT in 2025?$1.00Sep 26, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords in 2025?$1.00Sep 26, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netanyahu say "Hostage" 3+ times during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?$2.00Sep 26, 07:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump withdraw the U.S. from NATO in 2025?$2.07Sep 26, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Minnesota Timberwolves win the Western Conference?$1.04Sep 26, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$1.06Sep 26, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMFlorida vs. Auburn combine for 161+ points?$1.82Sep 26, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?$2.00Apr 3, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump withdraw the U.S. from NATO in 2025?$2.00Apr 3, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump increase sanctions on Russia before June?$1.00Apr 3, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Zelenskyy in April?$2.00Apr 3, 06:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $32.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 16, 01:10 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 16, 07:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.