Yawning-Iron
0x3116e65634a985c8e6bb821e9164a4c336b98bba
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-422.34
Realised
$-17.05
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Trump say "Kim Jong-Un" during Japan troop visit on October 28?
489 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-16.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?
403 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?
386 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?
355 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-64.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?
344 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?
235 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?
124 shares @ 24.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?
119 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?
108 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will CR Flamengo win on 2025-11-19?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill CR Flamengo win on 2025-11-19?$5.00Nov 20, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?$40.00Nov 4, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?$50.00Nov 4, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?$14.00Nov 4, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$4.85Nov 4, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chelsea win on 2025-11-01?$38.46Nov 2, 00:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-31?$40.32Nov 1, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea win on 2025-11-01?$15.00Oct 31, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United win on 2025-11-01?$20.00Oct 31, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-31?$25.00Oct 31, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?$5.00Oct 31, 11:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?$80.15Oct 31, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?$25.00Oct 30, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?$25.00Oct 30, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?$25.00Oct 30, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa win on 2025-11-01?$10.00Oct 30, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi shake hands for between 6 and 10 seconds on October 30, 2025?$10.00Oct 29, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?$5.00Oct 28, 15:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Japan troop visit on October 28?$0.00Oct 28, 12:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?$40.60Oct 28, 12:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $29.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 22, 18:38 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 20, 01:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".