Taut-Bough
0x311c25b1078ff174ca5a64091b5e83cfaee4eb26
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-106.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADESELLIran Nuke before 2027?$143.53Jun 29, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran Nuke before 2027?$143.53Jun 29, 07:54 UTC
- REDEEMGame 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?$488.00Jun 9, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYGame 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?$445.28Jun 8, 04:36 UTC
- TRADESELLUAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?$441.80Jun 8, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?$441.80Jun 8, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)$34.16May 27, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)$35.42May 27, 02:42 UTC
- TRADESELLEuropean country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? $25.16May 27, 02:40 UTC
- TRADESELLEuropean country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? $33.47May 27, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYEuropean country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? $26.68May 27, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYEuropean country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? $20.35May 27, 02:05 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia" before 2027?$38.22May 27, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia" before 2027?$39.65May 27, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Nice (-2.5)$18.12May 26, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Nice (-2.5)$18.40May 26, 06:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alberta join the US? $23.05May 26, 06:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alberta join the US? $23.71May 26, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alberta join the US? $23.36May 26, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alberta join the US? $23.41May 26, 05:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $207.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 31, 05:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 29, 09:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.