Repulsive-Capability
0x311f6e3cbb98376b321c5cf4cdeafcd9af11073d
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$167.61
Total PnL
$-6.83
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on December 31?
168 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$167.61
$0.17
- NO
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
26 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
3 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on December 31?$167.44Dec 31, 16:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on December 19?$167.43Dec 31, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on December 19?$167.10Dec 19, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $5.00Dec 16, 20:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Paris?$1.43Dec 16, 20:03 UTC
- REDEEMUS 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?$3.80Dec 16, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Paris?$1.00Apr 13, 07:26 UTC
- REDEEMSabres vs. Panthers$105.13Apr 13, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?$1.00Apr 13, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$2.00Apr 12, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYSabres vs. Panthers$66.00Apr 12, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?$2.00Apr 12, 16:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $97,000 on January 10?$111.41Jan 24, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $97,000 on January 10?$109.90Jan 10, 14:15 UTC
- REDEEMNext Ethereum hard fork live by end of 2024?$109.91Jan 10, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYNext Ethereum hard fork live by end of 2024?$109.40Dec 25, 14:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $63.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 25, 14:54 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 31, 16:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.