Variable-Recognition
0x3124ebb11c30fd5a8c253f8cf5394997b24b9143
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-30.56
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- NO
US government shutdown by October 1?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on August 11?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet between 300 and 329 times August 29–September 5?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $200K in August?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $2400 in August?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump resign today?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 9AM ET
125 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in August?
122 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 90-100 million views on week 1?
113 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $80K in August?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown by October 1?$1.00Oct 1, 06:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$0.17Oct 1, 06:26 UTC
- TRADESELLMilei out as President of Argentina in 2025?$1.23Oct 1, 06:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get 100 million or more views on week 1?$0.11Sep 4, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 90-100 million views on week 1?$1.00Sep 4, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet between 300 and 329 times August 29–September 5?$1.00Sep 2, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet between 330 and 359 times August 29–September 5?$1.00Sep 2, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump resign today?$1.00Sep 2, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $300 in September?$1.00Sep 2, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $8000 in September?$1.00Sep 2, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150K in September?$1.00Sep 2, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilei out as President of Argentina in 2025?$1.00Sep 2, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$1.00Sep 2, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get 100 million or more views on week 1?$1.00Sep 2, 13:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $6200 in August?$10.00Sep 2, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 9AM ET$1.00Aug 12, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 9AM ET$1.00Aug 12, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 8AM ET$1.00Aug 12, 12:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 3AM ET$0.00Aug 12, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $80K in August?$1.00Aug 12, 07:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $2.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 11, 15:53 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 1, 06:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".