Polite-Lap
0x31323e3545d99985bf922422e2fae390a770ca57
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
37
Open notional
$4.13
Total PnL
$-98.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- YES
Will the Republican Party win the PA-13 House seat?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the TN-08 House seat?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.90
$-0.10
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the TX-24 House seat?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.79
$-0.21
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
3 shares @ 37.0¢·now 24.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.68
$-0.33
- YES
Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 44.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$0.47
$-0.53
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-11 House seat?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.14
$-0.86
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the WA-09 House seat?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.08
$-0.92
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the TX-07 House seat?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.07
$-0.93
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + D66?
2643 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?$1.19Feb 23, 02:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?$1.19Feb 23, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$7.13Feb 19, 22:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?$0.99Feb 19, 21:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$2.00Feb 19, 21:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.76Feb 19, 21:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$2.38Feb 19, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$6.96Feb 18, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$13.54Feb 18, 11:47 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$20.50Feb 18, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$12.61Feb 18, 11:41 UTC
- REDEEMSeahawks vs. Patriots$0.00Feb 13, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?$1.00Feb 13, 05:15 UTC
- REDEEMSeahawks vs. Patriots$0.00Feb 13, 05:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$2.02Feb 13, 05:14 UTC
- REDEEMSeahawks vs. Patriots$11.59Feb 13, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYArkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs. Grambling State Tigers$4.23Jan 29, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeahawks vs. Patriots$8.00Jan 29, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the TX-07 House seat?$1.00Jan 29, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the PA-13 House seat?$1.00Jan 29, 06:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $4.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 27, 09:37 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 23, 02:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".