Colossal-Oyster
0x3134131f7287cb55724b0973fcd87ce370838b95
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
100
Open notional
$3.51
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 100- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
3 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$2.51
$0.01
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on July 22?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$1.00
$-0.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $4000 on September 3 at 4PM ET?
14000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 3, 2025$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Will Jim Walden win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will MDG win the second most seats in the Norway election?
9999 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Christian Lindner be the next Chancellor of Germany?
4550 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-4.55
- YES
Will CDU/CSU and Greens form the next German Government?
2500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will Elon tweet 295–309 times August 29–September 5?
1610 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.61
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 64-65°F on September 27?
1300 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Will another company be the largest in the world by market cap on August 31?
1200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on July 22?$1.00Jul 21, 23:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$1.24Jul 1, 06:25 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by June 30?$1.12Jul 1, 06:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $20 in June?$1.12Jul 1, 06:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy post 160-179 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$11.02Jun 30, 19:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,000 June 22-28?$1.00Jun 29, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy post 160-179 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$11.00Jun 28, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,000 June 22-28?$1.00Jun 26, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$2.50Jun 25, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by June 30?$1.12Jun 19, 23:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy post 200+ posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$1.00Jun 19, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $20 in June?$1.12Jun 16, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$1.24Jun 15, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy post 200+ posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$1.00Jun 14, 18:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Belinda Robertson win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?$1.00Jun 3, 07:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Eoghan Ó Ceannabháin win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?$1.66May 24, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belinda Robertson win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?$1.00May 23, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eoghan Ó Ceannabháin win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?$1.66May 21, 21:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?$1.00May 17, 03:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$1.00May 5, 18:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $2.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 16:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 23:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.