Confused-Column
0x313abd37b31f28028e5775abe559c376cc476198
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
78
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-224.54
Realised
$16.96
Win rate
78%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 78- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
313 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
279 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.79
- YES
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14?
274 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-18.33
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
73 shares @ 27.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
46 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
43 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-22?
41 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.87
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$0.00Jun 23, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$1.07Jun 23, 20:58 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$1.25Jun 23, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$1.03Jun 23, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$1.06Jun 23, 20:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$1.34Jun 23, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$1.05Jun 23, 20:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$1.29Jun 23, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$1.03Jun 23, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$5.14Jun 23, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 23, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$1.02Jun 23, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 23, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$1.05Jun 23, 20:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$1.20Jun 23, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$1.04Jun 23, 20:22 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 23, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$1.41Jun 23, 20:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$1.67Jun 23, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 23, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$1.03Jun 23, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$1.04Jun 23, 20:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$0.00Jun 23, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$1.06Jun 23, 20:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
31/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
78% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $1.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 26, 16:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 21:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.