Occasional-Audit
0x313e8269ff2f401c9883ea36539baa8b0b36c4a3
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$15.27
Total PnL
$-215.44
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
27 shares @ 37.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.27
$5.27
- NO
Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
541 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-35.00
- G2 ESPORTS
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
333 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?
240 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-13.20
- YES
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?
165 shares @ 25.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-42.27
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on October 31?
158 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
114 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
82 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$5.00Feb 11, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$3.00Feb 11, 10:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Best Game Direction at the 2025 Game Awards?$40.00Feb 11, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$15.00Dec 12, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Best Game Direction at the 2025 Game Awards?$12.00Dec 9, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Best Game Direction at the 2025 Game Awards?$0.38Dec 6, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Best Game Direction at the 2025 Game Awards?$5.32Dec 6, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Best Game Direction at the 2025 Game Awards?$9.50Dec 6, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$20.00Nov 24, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYRolex Paris Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Valentin Vacherot$5.00Oct 30, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on October 31?$1.00Oct 30, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?$10.00Oct 30, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)$5.00Oct 30, 10:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 7-13?$1.45Oct 30, 10:15 UTC
- REDEEMTrump strikes another drug boat by Oct 15?$3.77Oct 30, 10:15 UTC
- REDEEM"Black Phone 2" Rotten Tomatoes score is less than 70?$5.00Oct 30, 10:15 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: Russian Capture Edition$52.99Oct 30, 10:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?$145.13Oct 30, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?$3.33Oct 15, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?$2.00Oct 15, 12:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $7.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 7, 20:01 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 11, 10:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".