Silly-Disadvantage
0x31430baee451fdd7c1deb19cd8b403e64e4069ff
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-101.92
Realised
$-1.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
3030 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.03
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
1691 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-19.31
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
1225 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-16.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
1111 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
1030 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.03
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$1.31Apr 24, 02:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$0.40Apr 24, 02:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$0.91Apr 24, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$2.78Apr 17, 15:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$2.21Apr 17, 15:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$0.60Apr 17, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$1.88Apr 17, 12:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$1.95Apr 17, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$9.14Apr 17, 07:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$9.33Apr 17, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$2.04Apr 16, 14:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$1.57Apr 16, 14:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$0.57Apr 16, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$1.00Apr 15, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$2.00Apr 15, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Apr 15, 20:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$4.00Apr 15, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$3.75Apr 15, 18:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$0.00Apr 15, 18:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$0.00Apr 15, 18:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $2.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 19, 08:56 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 24, 02:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".