Sorrowful-Landform
0x31444b80be0adf24a89831d9f9791f33ab89da1e
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
37
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-95.06
Realised
$0.16
Win rate
8%
37 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 18?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on June 18?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 21?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on June 28?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 28?
51 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on June 20?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 20?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on June 26?
41 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 25?
35 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-0.35
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on June 24?
34 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on August 16?$1.28Aug 16, 16:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 16?$1.32Aug 16, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 16?$1.21Aug 16, 03:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on August 15?$1.28Aug 16, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on August 16?$1.20Aug 16, 03:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on August 15?$1.29Aug 15, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on August 15?$1.20Aug 15, 17:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 15?$1.28Aug 15, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on August 15?$1.20Aug 15, 13:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 15?$1.28Aug 15, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 15?$1.20Aug 15, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 15?$1.20Aug 15, 00:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on August 14?$1.28Aug 14, 22:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C or higher on August 14?$1.06Aug 14, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on August 14?$1.20Aug 14, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C or higher on August 14?$1.00Aug 14, 04:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on August 13?$1.06Aug 13, 16:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C or higher on August 13?$1.06Aug 13, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C or higher on August 13?$1.00Aug 13, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on August 13?$1.00Aug 13, 04:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
54/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
8% win rate over 37 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 23/100.
37 closed markets, 8% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $1.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 16:35 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 16, 16:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 37 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.