Alarming-Road
0x314584865c2acdb7829bb751c40fc01d65224c49
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$57.25
Total PnL
$-83.54
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
58 shares @ 52.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$29.13
$-0.87
- NO
Trump out as President before GTA VI?
31 shares @ 48.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$15.47
$0.47
- YES
Will Iran strike Bahrain again in March?
12 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$12.35
$2.35
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
41 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.31
$-19.69
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 22, 2026 (ET)?
273 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 29, 2026 (ET)?
153 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.40
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 28, 2026 (ET)?
140 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.40
- YES
Iran Strike on Israel by January 31?
67 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)?
64 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 23, 2026 (ET)?
61 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Turkey in March?$2.00Mar 21, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Bahrain again in March?$10.00Mar 21, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Oman again in March?$4.00Mar 21, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$5.00Mar 6, 21:15 UTC
- REDEEMCrude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 3?$3.75Mar 6, 21:11 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$5.32Mar 6, 21:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?$25.00Mar 6, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYCrude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 3?$3.00Mar 2, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before GTA VI?$15.00Mar 1, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$30.00Mar 1, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$20.00Mar 1, 07:52 UTC
- REDEEMIran Strike on Israel by February 28?$0.00Mar 1, 07:50 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: Khamenei$0.00Mar 1, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?$20.00Mar 1, 07:49 UTC
- REDEEMIran Strike on Israel by February 28?$28.57Mar 1, 07:48 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: Khamenei$58.82Mar 1, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$5.00Feb 28, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYMasoud Pezeshkian out by March 31?$10.00Feb 28, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYMasoud Pezeshkian out by March 31?$10.00Feb 28, 20:24 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$9.26Feb 28, 16:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $9.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 19, 20:10 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 21, 23:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.