Loyal-Irrigation
0x31503db7f691b55426da0415f57a6f48f9ca289e
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$4.53
Total PnL
$-2.47
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.29
$0.03
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.15
$0.00
- NO
Will Curaçao win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$1.10
$0.01
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
3 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.15Jun 10, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.26Jun 10, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Curaçao win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.09Jun 10, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 22?$1.16Jun 10, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the People’s Bank of China not change rates in May?$2.13Jun 10, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$4.25Jun 10, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 22?$1.15May 22, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the People’s Bank of China not change rates in May?$2.12May 22, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$4.17May 22, 05:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 23°C or below on April 29?$1.12May 22, 05:23 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?$2.04May 22, 05:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the second-best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?$4.35May 22, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 23°C or below on April 29?$1.12Apr 28, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?$2.02Apr 28, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the second-best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?$4.27Apr 28, 05:36 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?$1.35Apr 28, 05:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$3.47Apr 28, 05:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?$3.92Apr 28, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?$1.30Mar 5, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$3.30Mar 5, 07:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $379.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 12, 08:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 06:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.