Prime-Disagreement
0x3152c09534b43cebc42dc6edfe5f2df9855d5d51
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$548.10
Total PnL
$-56.90
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
510 shares @ 50.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$293.25
$38.25
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
510 shares @ 50.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$216.75
$-38.25
- NO
Will Seattle have between 0.5 and 1 inches of precipitation in June?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.98
$-0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 81°F or below on June 13?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$9.90
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 67°F or below on June 13?
9 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$9.20
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 13?
9 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$9.00
$0.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
100 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-47.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 9?
10 shares @ 99.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-9.90
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.05Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 13?$9.53Jun 13, 16:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on June 13?$9.81Jun 13, 16:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 13?$10.01Jun 13, 16:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on June 13?$9.42Jun 13, 15:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be 67°F or below on June 13?$9.20Jun 12, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seattle have between 0.5 and 1 inches of precipitation in June?$10.00Jun 12, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 81°F or below on June 13?$9.90Jun 12, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on June 13?$9.40Jun 12, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on June 13?$9.80Jun 12, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 13?$10.00Jun 12, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 13?$9.00Jun 12, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 13?$9.50Jun 12, 08:45 UTC
- MERGE2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$40.00Jun 12, 08:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 10, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on June 9?$9.91Jun 9, 23:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on June 9?$9.71Jun 9, 19:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $35.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 08:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.