Third-Brisket
0x315aef5496c9e7b84ddb277c580d196fb16a69d8
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-117.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will MrBeast's video get between 78 and 79 million views on week 1?
925 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.85
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on November 20?
510 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
117 shares @ 88.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-103.50
- YES
US strikes Iran by October 31?
77 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by October 31?
29 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
9 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?
7 shares @ 38.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-2.60
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 2-8?
4 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?$104.10Apr 14, 09:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?$104.10Apr 14, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?$104.00Apr 11, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's video get between 78 and 79 million views on week 1?$1.85Apr 11, 10:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$105.70Apr 11, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$105.00Apr 6, 06:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$105.11Apr 6, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$105.00Apr 1, 10:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$1.08Apr 1, 10:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$3.01Apr 1, 10:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$100.40Apr 1, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$100.00Mar 30, 01:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$100.10Mar 30, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$100.00Mar 25, 11:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$100.10Mar 25, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$100.00Mar 20, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$3.00Mar 20, 10:59 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?$1.07Mar 20, 10:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$2.06Mar 20, 10:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?$99.63Mar 20, 10:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $70.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 10, 11:31 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 14, 09:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".