Weary-Spokesman
0x315cd26425f1c54f514e067bd02ad5e1432c3b3d
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$25.36
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
1762 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-493.46
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 16, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
1522 shares @ 24.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-379.34
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2AM ET
644 shares @ 13.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-89.81
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 15, 2AM ET
608 shares @ 15.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-92.85
- UP
XRP Up or Down - February 16, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
415 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-14.80
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - February 14, 1PM ET
261 shares @ 13.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
250 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - February 15, 2AM ET
242 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-26.30
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - February 16, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
232 shares @ 37.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-87.73
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
139 shares @ 24.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-34.16
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$0.77Feb 18, 00:18 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - February 17, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$0.00Feb 17, 11:03 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - February 17, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$0.00Feb 17, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - February 17, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$16.74Feb 17, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - February 17, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$16.74Feb 17, 11:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$9.00Feb 17, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$4.06Feb 17, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$0.09Feb 17, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$0.21Feb 17, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$0.56Feb 17, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$0.61Feb 17, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$7.19Feb 17, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$3.20Feb 17, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$1.00Feb 17, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 17, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$0.00Feb 17, 10:12 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 17, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$10.00Feb 17, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 17, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$5.53Feb 17, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 17, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$0.03Feb 17, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 17, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$0.02Feb 17, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 17, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$8.80Feb 17, 09:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $5.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 17, 08:23 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 18, 00:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.