Smart-Fallingout
0x315fa99148c1d5842665167240da5ddc26fad123
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$10.18
Total PnL
$-10.13
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
3 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$3.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $190 by end of February?
3 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$3.01
$0.01
- NO
GTA VI released before June 2026?
2 shares @ 96.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.07
$0.07
- YES
Will Galatasaray win the Süper Lig?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$1.09
$0.09
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will the Cincinnati Bengals finish with the worst record in the NFL?
33 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2025$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will Nicolae Ciucă advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?
9 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.11
- YES
Will Benedict Mathurin win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?
6 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.10
- KNICKS
Pacers vs. Knicks
5 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will MillerKnoll (MLKN) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $190 by end of February?$3.00Feb 19, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$3.00Feb 19, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYGTA VI released before June 2026?$2.00Feb 19, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$1.00Feb 19, 06:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hims say "Zava" during earnings call?$1.02Feb 19, 06:18 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: Conspiracy Edition$1.03Feb 19, 06:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$1.15Feb 19, 06:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?$1.52Feb 19, 06:18 UTC
- REDEEMElon no longer world's richest before 2026?$1.75Feb 19, 06:18 UTC
- REDEEMTikTok sale announced in 2025?$2.38Feb 19, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hims say "Zava" during earnings call?$1.00Oct 30, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Lyman by November 30?$1.00Oct 30, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Galatasaray win the Süper Lig?$1.00Oct 13, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: Conspiracy Edition$1.00Oct 13, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$1.00Oct 13, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?$1.00Oct 8, 01:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iga Swiatek win the 2025 WTA Korea Open?$1.82Oct 8, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYTikTok sale announced in 2025?$1.00Oct 8, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill House and Senate pass funding bill by October 31?$1.00Oct 8, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. enacts AI safety bill in 2025?$1.00Sep 19, 00:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $75.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 9, 08:34 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 19, 06:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.