0x31648d6a6db5a2a4508786afafcac0e756c1cf39
0x31648d6a6db5a2a4508786afafcac0e756c1cf39
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$5.4K
Realised
$6.3K
Win rate
57%
7 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
NBA: Will the Mavericks beat the Lakers by more than 11.5 points in their March 29 (7.30 PM ET) matchup?
25704 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2022$0.00
$-383.73
- YES
Golf: Will Collin Morikawa win the 2022 Masters Tournament?
645 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2022$0.00
$-34.71
- YES
Golf: Will Jon Rahm win the 2022 Masters Tournament?
575 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2022$0.00
$-45.97
- NO
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $105 or more on April 15, 2022?
279 shares @ 50.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2022$0.00
$-141.55
- UCLA BRUINS
NCAAB: Who will win UCLA Bruins vs. North Carolina Tar Heels, scheduled for March 25, 9:39 PM ET?
270 shares @ 57.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2022$0.00
$-155.40
- YES
Will Joel Embiid win NBA ’21-’22 MVP?
154 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2022$0.00
$-77.23
- YES
FIDE World Chess Grand Prix 2022: Will Hikaru Nakamura win Leg #3?
81 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2022$0.00
$-40.34
- YES
NBA: Will the Nuggets beat the Thunder by more than 13.5 points in their March 26, 9:10 PM ET matchup?
33 shares @ 52.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2022$0.00
$-17.33
- MIAMI HURRICANES
NCAAB: Who will win Kansas Jayhawks vs. Miami Hurricanes, scheduled for March 27, 2:20 PM ET?
33 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2022$0.00
$-14.35
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
33/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
57% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.